Decisions, Decisions
One thing I will admit that I enjoyed my English Literature classes from my High School, and I do miss them. It wasn’t the Literature books that we had to study though I still read them mostly and refer to them a lot, with notable exception for Pride and Prejudice, not going near that at all. It was my English teachers, both of them in matter of fact, the way they approached the course, the curriculum. It wasn’t til I discussed with my friends I realised how lucky I was. “If you want to ruin a book, put it on the school curriculum” was the chorus.
They used the books as a tool, to open up our world, our views, our perceptions, and occasionally would bring in titbits of History, Economics, Politics, Philosophy, Sciences into the discussion about English Literature to understand the content or the author more.
To this day I found myself referring to those books I read, King Lear about love, I Lay Dying about perceptions, Kafta about humour, to give a few examples. I am not summarising the books, but what I drew the most out of them for everyday’s life. Best example would be Kafta’s humour that failed to be translated into English, gives me more understanding of how translations and culture can really differ.
One memorable lesson was about politics, and I can’t remember which book we were discussing, but the topic was Tony Blair and the War in Iraq. The gist of the lesson was
“What would you do if you were in Tony Blair’s shoes”.
We all benefited from the power of hindsight, we are able to comfort ourselves with the idea that we were right that there was no weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, that we were right all along and there shouldn’t be any war.
But lets say for the moment that you are Prime Minister of United Kingdom and in your cabinet room, you are discussing with your advisers about Weapons of Mass Destruction in Iraq. Try not to use any benefit of the hindsight in this example.
As a Prime Minister you are responsible for your citizens, and their safety. Not to mention that you believe in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights, that every one have a right to life and from fear. Your alliance with America is also hanging on what you would do next, which you cannot just rely on idealogical reasons, there are trade negotiations and deals going on, military and various treaties all signed, economic ties and debt, an alliance that goes back to the First World War.
You may have something against the American President, but can you hold that against the American public, despite the fact they elected him. Perhaps that American businessman you are trading with, or an American hipster customer from Oregon that you are selling to. Whether you like it or not, millions of your own countrymen visit America, buys American goods, trade with Americans. All that will be affected by your decision whether to back America or not.
So the Americans gave you information and you have to weigh the value of the information. You know Americans are going to war anyway, not much choice you can do there. But you could pull the leash a bit before it snaps. Your advisers gives you paperwork citing evidence from your own intelligence agents and American intelligence organisations, that Saddam harbours weapons of mass destruction. Iraq may not be a threat to your country nor America, but they may or may not been supplying terrorists, or future terrorists, you don’t know therefore you can’t just assume the best case scenario, you have to assume the worst case scenario.
The information are given to you by the people who are serving the country, they gave up their life, their names, for the country. In exchange for their duty to the country, you cannot name them, nor indicate where you got the information from or how. That is a rather sticky situation to be; how to convince the public about the documents that you are led to believe is genuine without telling them the entails of the documents and how you acquired them.
The intelligence agents may have misidentified, may have made a mistake, may be overconfidence in surveillance, but again for the safety of your citizens you cannot assume that. Things going on in your mind that if the intelligence agents actually got it right and you didn’t believe them. You would be crucified, responsible for the deaths of your own citizens in a terrorist attack that had weapons from Saddam. Tough decision to make. Bill Clinton regretted not going after Osama Bin Laden, after the Nairobi bombings, which in turn Bill Clinton have the deaths of 9/11 hanging over his head.
Pacifist or not, no matter how much you hate Bush, you know if confronted with that situation, weighing the lives of your own countrymen, with your advisers giving you information that you cannot afford to doubt, you would have done what Tony Blair did whether you like it or not. That is hard choice, difficult choice. The worst thing is; there isn’t any other real pragmatic option of overthrowing Saddam.
Perhaps it was easier just to go to war, overthrow a tyrant who murdered and oppressed his own citizens, just in case to confirm there are no weapons of mass destruction. Safe side of the coin. Follow your ally into war, and hope for the best, ride the storm that would come if there happens to be no weapons of mass destruction. President George W. Bush copped a lot of flak for wanting the war, Secretary of State Colin Powell was chastised, but British Prime Minister Tony Blair’s reputation remains fairly intact. His legacy isn’t overshadowed by the decision to convince the British public to go to war.
Tony Blair did the best he could, he and Powell managed to get America to go through the United Nations as much as possible, regardless of how much a difference that made.
The most important thing about that discussion for me was the confrontation with reality. Unable to tell the public classified information when you need them as evidence to convince them. Making the decision and living with them. It is easier for you to be on the couch and criticise when you are not given the burden of the decision. Be damned if you do and be damned if you don’t.
For the record, War in Iraq, I still don’t know if it was worth it, but I hope democracy flourish to make it worth the lives lost, not to make Bush feel better. Saddam was a tyrant yeah, there are many other tyrants we could have overthrown too but of course it wasn’t in the interest (oil), it was the inconsistency of their policy that should be criticised. Not a thing is being done about the starving people of North Korea (sanctions only hurt the people more). Respecting sovereignty is a double-edge sword. This post wasn’t justifying the case for war, but highlighting the burden when confronted with a decision.
Everything I think about politics, or a political decision politicians make or about to make, I always think about Tony Blair, weighing the options. No doubt Blair would want more information, find something that is missing that could have changed the case.